Saturday, 5 January 2013

US job market resilient despite budget fight

WASHINGTON (AP) ? The U.S. job market showed resilience in three reports Thursday, suggesting it may be able to withstand a federal budget battle that threatens more economic uncertainty in coming months.

A survey showed private hiring increased last month, while layoffs declined and applications for unemployment benefits stayed near a four-year low. The data led some economists to raise their forecasts for December job growth one day before the government releases its closely watched employment report.

"The job market held firm in December despite the intensifying fiscal cliff negotiations," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. "Businesses even became somewhat more aggressive in their hiring at year end."

The most encouraging sign came from payroll provider ADP. Its monthly employment survey showed businesses added 215,000 jobs last month, the most in 10 months and much higher than November's total of 148,000.

Economists tend to approach the ADP survey with some skepticism because it has diverged sharply at times from the government's job figures. The Labor Department releases its employment report Friday.

But some economists were also hopeful after seeing businesses were less inclined to cut jobs last month.

Outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas said that the number of announced job cuts fell 43 percent in December from November, and overall planned layoffs in 2012 fell to the lowest level since 1997.

The decline in layoffs coincided with a drop last month in the number of people who applied for unemployment benefits. The four-week average was little changed at 360,000 last week. That's only slightly above the previous week's 359,750, which was the lowest since March 2008.

Most economists expect the Labor Department report will show employers added about 150,000 jobs last month and the unemployment rate stayed at 7.7 percent.

Some economists saw potential for stronger gains after seeing Thursday's data.

Joseph LaVorgna, chief U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank, raised his forecast for job growth in December to 190,000 jobs, up from 150,000.

Credit Suisse increased its forecast to 185,000, up from 165,000.

"Given that we have restraints, the labor market data do appear to be improving," said Dana Saporta, an economist at Credit Suisse.

Still, many economists remained cautious about where the job market is headed. While Congress and the White House reached a deal this week that removed the threat of tax increases to most Americans, they postponed the more difficult decisions on cutting spending. And the government must also increase its $16.4 trillion borrowing limit by late February or risk defaulting on its debt.

Congressional Republicans are pressing for deep spending cuts in return for any increase in the borrowing limit. President Barack Obama has repeatedly said wants the issues kept separate.

The economy has added about 150,000 jobs a month, on average, over the past two years. That's too few to rapidly lower the unemployment rate.

Hiring probably won't rise above the current 150,000 per month trend until after the borrowing limit is resolved, economists say.

A similar fight over raising the borrowing limit in 2011 was only settled at the last hour and nearly brought the nation to the brink of default.

"That's not an environment where you're likely to be taking risks," such as boosting hiring, said Nigel Gault, chief U.S. economist at IHS Global Insight.

Even with modest gains in hiring, the unemployment rate remains high. It fell to 7.7 percent in November from 7.9 percent in October. But that was mostly because many of the unemployed stopped looking for jobs. The government counts people as unemployed only if they are actively searching for work.

The number of people receiving jobless benefits fell to 5.4 million in the week ended Dec. 15, the latest data available. That's down about 70,000 from the previous week. The figure includes about 2.1 million people receiving emergency benefits paid for by the federal government. The White House and Congress agreed earlier this week to extend that program for another year.

There are signs the economy is improving. The once-battered housing market is recovering, which should lead to more construction jobs this year. Companies ordered more long-lasting manufactured goods in November, a sign they are investing more in equipment and software. And Americans spent more in November. Consumer spending drives nearly 70 percent of economic growth.

__

AP Economics Writer Martin Crutsinger contributed to this report. Follow Chris Rugaber at http://Twitter.com/ChrisRugaber

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/us-job-market-resilient-despite-budget-fight-200444262--finance.html

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Video: Congress tallies, announces 2012 Electoral College results (cbsnews)

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Friday, 4 January 2013

Beyond SEO: The Real Benefits of Blogging for Your Business ...

One of the most inexpensive and successful forms of advertising for a business is blogging. While a blog takes an initial investment of time ? both to set up as well as in consistent posting ? you can find many sites that will host and provide a layout for a blog for free. Using a blog benefits your business? online presence. Initially, the idea behind blogging for businesses was that a blog would provide valuable promotion of websites through the use of SEO. However, now that Google has initiated Panda, SEO has lost its Midas touch. Blogs that post simply for the sake of SEO purposes without providing original and readable content are dinged and demoted in the all-influential Google rankings. So how can you ensure your blog isn?t lost in the World Wide Web?

Timing is Everything

The key to blogging is timing. You need to post on your blog a minimum of once per week. However, if you can post every weekday, you stand a much better chance of having your blog viewed by a wider audience. The optimal time to publish to a blog is midday from Tuesday to Thursday ? this is the peak time of blog readership. Having a difficult time finding time each day to post? You can write and save a post and set it up to publish automatically at a particular time and date.

Self Promotion Versus Useful Content

Steer clear of total self promotion. The rule of thumb is that your blog should be 10 percent promotion and 90 percent useful content and cross promotion for other bloggers and websites. How can this benefit your business? By providing useful content for readers, such as vehicle weatherization tips on a car dealership blog, you attract and maintain a much larger reader base. People who are searching for these topics will be directed to your blog, whereas you would attract a much smaller audience if you were only blogging about your particular business.

Determining Useful Content

To determine what type of content would be useful for your blog posts, use LSI to discern the SEO keywords that are related to your business. For instance, commonly searched phrases used in SEO as related to sporting equipment could be the World Series, tennis rackets, or Eli Manning. Remember to use the keywords sparingly in your posts. Ideally you would use a keyword or phrase two to three times per 500-word post ? once in the first sentence, once in the middle of the post and once in the last sentence.

Other Types of Content Include:

? Seasonal topics, such as holiday activities and tips for special occasions, as they relate to your business. For example, a plumbing business could blog about what to do if your bathroom has an unexpected issue during the busy holiday party season.

? Your favorite recipes or food preparation tips as this is a hot topic of Internet searches.

? Personalized posts, such as your own experience with eating at restaurants in exotic or overseas locales if you own your own food delivery service or restaurant.

? Photo or video posts- blogs featuring images or video are much more likely to maintain a reader?s interest in comparison to verbose and lengthy written posts.

? Popular news stories as related to your business, such as an alligator found swimming in an outdoor pool for a business that is selling pool supplies.

Expand Your Network

Attract a greater audience by promoting other blogs that have similar interests as your own. This is a prime way to network your blog, allowing your viewership to grow exponentially and at a much greater rate than if you were blogging solo. How do you do this? Add to the conversation of other blogs by posting comments on those blogs, and then self promote by including a hyperlink to your own blog. Request to guest post on other blogs and accept guest posts to your own blog. This is a great way to expand your blogging network and increase the variety of content posted on your blog. Don?t forget to respond promptly to comments on your blog posts. This keeps readers and ensures they will return to read upcoming posts.

Blogging is all about getting your business website recognized by as many Web viewers as possible. Use these tips provided to benefit your blog and increase the number of viewers that stick around long enough to read through your posts, thereby improving your ratings with search engines. Do you have any advice regarding blogging for a business? Leave a comment below so to share your knowledge.

Key Takeaways:

? Blog at least once a week and publish your blog midday Tuesday to Thursday.
? Post comments on related blogs and become a guest blogger. Include a short bio and your business hyperlink and name when you do so.
? Provide valuable content to viewers so they read through your posts and revisit your blog in the future.
? Get personal by responding to comments left on your blog and by posting blog posts related to your own real life experiences.

About the author: Charles Dearing has extensive experience in website development. His articles mainly appear web development blogs. If you are looking for an SEO Company that serves all your blogs needs, visit SEO Works to find out more.

Source: http://www.wnwdesign.co.uk/blog/seo/beyond-seo-the-real-benefits-of-blogging-for-your-business/

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The Consequence of Love and Trust

The Consequence of Love and Trust

Who can you really trust?

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Game Masters:

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Forum for completely Out of Character (OOC) discussion, based around whatever is happening In Character (IC). Discuss plans, storylines, and events; Recruit for your roleplaying game, or find a GM for your playergroup.


I submitted a character. If there is something wrong with it please let me know and i'll do my best to fix it.

Kiss my lips and taste my pain...
Let the pain run through your veins

User avatar
majeticbeauty
Member for 1 years


Hi, I sent you a character but I don't really like her. Could I create a different one? She's kind of rubbish :L

"Light can be found in even the darkest places if one only remembers to turn on the lights." - Albus Dumbledore.

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MissBrightside_
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Post a reply

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2012 Pew Internet Studies on Teens, Education and Online Behavior

The Pew Internet and American Life Project division of the Pew Research Center conducts studies and reports on?teens, families, broadband, health, social networking, mobile, technology user types, the digital divide and more. I wanted to share the findings of its most recent studies on teens, the Internet and education.

Parents, Teens and Online Privacy 11/20/12 (ages 12-17_

Parents' biggest concerns over the online privacy of their teens are:

  • The amount of information advertisers can learn about their teen's online behavior.
  • How their teens interact online with people they don't know.
  • How their teens online activity might affect future college or job prospects.
  • How their teens manage their online reputations.
  • Over a third of teen Internet users engage in video chats with others using Skype, Googletalk or iChat.
  • Teen girls use video chats more often than teenage boys.
  • Over a quarter of Internet using teens upload video to the Internet.
  • Over 10% of these teens stream live video to the Internet for others to see.
  • Social media using teens are more likely to do the above.
  • (Since this research is almost a year old, I wouldn't be surprised if these numbers are much higher now).

According to a survey of middle and high school teachers a majority feel that:

  • Student's digital literacy skills have not kept pace with the growing number of educational resources online.
  • Students have a wider access to resources now with the Internet.
  • The Internet makes students more self-sufficient in their research.
  • Search engines have led students to expect to find information quickly and easily.
  • The amount of online information available is overwhelming to students.
  • Digital technologies discourage students from using other types of sources when doing research.
  • Today's technology makes it harder for students to find credible sources.
  • About half of the teachers believe that schools should teach courses in digital literacy. (As a former academic librarian, I couldn't agree more).
The research done by the Pew Internet and American Life Project is fascinating. Take a look at the variety of topics and see if there is any other research that interests you in addition to that on teens and education.

Source: http://www.connectwithyourteens.net/2013/01/pew-internet-studies-teens-education-online.html

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Presidents of Sudan, South Sudan to meet Friday

ADDIS ABABA, Ethiopia (AP) ? Ethiopia's Ministry of Foreign Affairs says the presidents of Sudan and South Sudan, two countries which were at the brink of all-out war last year, are to meet Friday in Ethiopia's capital.

Spokesman Dina Mufti said Thursday that Ethiopia is optimistic the meeting will advance stalled peace deals.

Sudan President Omar al-Bashir and South Sudan President Salva Kiir signed deals in September to restart the south's oil industry. South Sudan's oil flows through Sudan's pipelines, bringing in revenue for both countries. The south shut down its oil industry last year after accusing Sudan of stealing its oil. Disagreements on the implementation of the September deal persist.

Ethiopian Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn and African Union mediators are expected to push the two leaders for a rapid implementation of the September deals.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/presidents-sudan-south-sudan-meet-friday-100155377.html

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Thursday, 3 January 2013

Universal Health Insurance in Massachusetts: Yes, We're Better Off ...

Back in the late 90?s, Massachusetts flirted briefly with a health uninsurance problem. The reason? In 1996, the state put into place a series of sensible rules that prevented insurers from refusing to cover sick and at-risk people, and from forcing them to pay exorbitantly?higher premiums. As a result of more sick people being able to access insurance, premiums went up and fewer healthy people enrolled. So the uninsurance rate swelled into double-digits, unusual for a state with historically low rates.

The answer to this well understood problem (called adverse selection) was a mandate that citizens purchase insurance, so that the costs of providing it to those who needed it most could be shared more broadly.

That 2006 reform is known as Romneycare, and in a post at?The Boston Business Journal, Managing Editor Craig Douglas asks whether it was worth it. Specifically, he asks:

But can anyone in Massachusetts with private insurance today, and who also had private insurance seven years ago before the state?s ?An Act Providing Access to Affordable, Quality, Accountable Health Care? was forged into law, attest to being better off when it comes to their personal cost and coverage for health care?

The answer, based on all available evidence, is yes.

Douglas alleges ? based on ?personal experience and many conversations with friends, family and fellow worker bees? ? that the quality of healthcare coverage has?deteriorated?and that costs for consumers are going up. The implication is that this is the fault Romneycare?s universal mandate.

Luckily, the Massachusetts reform has been the subject of considerable research, and the evidence suggests this is simply not the case.

Quality

Quality of medical care is unfortunately very difficult to measure, but a 2012?study commissioned by the National Bureau of Economic Research based on self-reported health measures found significant health improvements since reform. Yes, the gains include the benefits of more people being insured (an important thing!), but if quality was really dropping significantly it would have showed up in this research. Moreover, U.S. News & World Report recently ranked Massachusetts first in the nation based on the completeness and value of its insurance coverage.

Cost

Discussion about ?healthcare costs? can get confusing as it often blurs together several things. There?s aggregate spending ? how much, say, a state spends on healthcare. There are premiums ? how much an individual or employer pays monthly for an insurance plan. And there is, for lack of a better term, efficiency ? the amount paid either per unit of care or per unit of health outcome. The backdrop to any discussion has to be that aggregate healthcare spending is rising across the country.

Even on the simpler question of Massachusetts insurance premiums there are complications. Premiums have historically been high, but once you account for the state?s higher median income they look much more reasonable. And, as mentioned above, U.S. News rated the state?s plans as a good value, based on what you get for your money.

But did Romneycare make premiums rise, as Douglas implies? Actually, premium growth in Massachusetts has slowed in recent years?and looks relatively good by comparison to other states. There are a lot of factors tangled together here and so it?s tough to make any confident judgments, but in theory the inclusion of more healthy people in the insurance market should drive down premiums, and sure enough this has been true in the state?s non-group market.

Healthcare affordability remains a key challenge, though?research published in the journal Health Affairs illustrates?that it has not risen overall, as shown below.

This remaining challenge explains why Governor Deval Patrick is prioritizing cost control in recent legislation. But evidence that universal coverage is to blame for increasing premiums is scant.

Cost Shifting

One final point I want to address that Douglas claims:

Because government programs such as Medicare and Medicaid are notoriously stingy when it comes to reimbursing health providers ? often paying less than 70 cents on the dollar for the cost of care, according to state and federal data ? hospitals and other care givers are required to offset the difference by hosing the privately insured.

This is a compelling argument, but it is refuted by the data. As health economist Austin Frakt wrote in 2011, ?The best estimates in the literature suggest that today hospitals probably cost shift about 20 cents of each dollar shortfall in Medicare payments.? This doesn?t mean Medicare on the cheap isn?t a problem, just that it?s not to blame for higher private healthcare costs.

Conclusion

To return to Douglas? initial question: are we better off in Massachusetts thanks to universal health insurance? Yes. Health insurance is an important component to human welfare, and in exchange for the insurance mandate we can be assured that an accident or sudden illness likely won?t send us into bankruptcy. Moreover, the 2006 reform extended that comfort to lots of citizens who previously had limited access to healthcare, and they report being better off for it.

Contrary to Douglas, there is no evidence that the quality of our care has suffered; in fact, the state has some of the best healthcare in the nation. Healthcare costs ? premiums, aggregate spending, and efficiency ? remain a very real challenge, but they are rising as part of a broader national (and international) trend, not because of universal insurance.

The state?s reform efforts under Governor Romney set out to expand coverage and succeeded at its stated goal. Today we?re better off for it.

{ "slides" : 5, "transition_speed": 400 ,"fx": "fade" }

Understanding Healthcare Costs in 5 Charts

left left
  • The U.S. spends the most per capita on healthcare of any industrialized nation, but the evidence suggests we don't get superior health outcomes from that spending. (Graph via The Commonwealth Fund.)

  • You can see from this nice breakdown of where our federal taxes are spent that 21% of it goes to healthcare, in the form of Medicare, Medicaid, and CHIP (health insurance for children.) [Chart via the Center for Budget & Policy Priorities]

  • Healthcare spending isn't distributed equally throughout the population. Instead, a small fraction of chronically sick people account for the majority of spending. This has a number of implications for health innovation and policy. [Chart via NIHCM]

  • Unsurprisingly, healthcare spending skews toward the old. Look at how those top three blocks representing 55+ represent a huge fraction of the top 5% and top 1% of healthcare spenders. Demographics are putting strain on the healthcare system. [Chart via NIHCM]

  • The 2006 reform passed in Mass. helped decrease the % of uninsured dramatically to under 2%. The key challenge today remains curbing costs. [Chart via Health Affairs]

Understanding Healthcare Costs in 5 Charts

1 - The U.S. vs. Other Nations

The U.S. spends the most per capita on healthcare of any industrialized nation, but the evidence suggests we don't get superior health outcomes from that spending. (Graph via The Commonwealth Fund.)

2 - Taxes and Healthcare

You can see from this nice breakdown of where our federal taxes are spent that 21% of it goes to healthcare, in the form of Medicare, Medicaid, and CHIP (health insurance for children.) [Chart via the Center for Budget & Policy Priorities]

3 - Chronically Sick People Cost a Lot

Healthcare spending isn't distributed equally throughout the population. Instead, a small fraction of chronically sick people account for the majority of spending. This has a number of implications for health innovation and policy. [Chart via NIHCM]

4 - Age and Spending

Unsurprisingly, healthcare spending skews toward the old. Look at how those top three blocks representing 55+ represent a huge fraction of the top 5% and top 1% of healthcare spenders. Demographics are putting strain on the healthcare system. [Chart via NIHCM]

5 - Mass. Healthcare Reform

The 2006 reform passed in Mass. helped decrease the % of uninsured dramatically to under 2%. The key challenge today remains curbing costs. [Chart via Health Affairs]

Source: http://bostinno.com/2013/01/03/universal-health-insurance-in-massachusetts-yes-were-better-off/

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